Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.037297 0.042257 0.047762 0.054349 0.062045 0.070790 0.081530
2024-10-13 0.028059 0.034214 0.041677 0.051480 0.064154 0.080171 0.102241
2024-10-20 0.023458 0.030063 0.038570 0.050507 0.067110 0.089818 0.123999
2024-10-27 0.020170 0.026850 0.035865 0.049184 0.068825 0.097485 0.143949
2024-11-03 0.018463 0.025423 0.035216 0.050383 0.073994 0.110620 0.174412
2024-11-10 0.017114 0.024273 0.034725 0.051608 0.079219 0.124535 0.209000
2024-11-17 0.015689 0.022816 0.033553 0.051538 0.082243 0.135231 0.240251
2024-11-24 0.014329 0.021295 0.032080 0.050732 0.083818 0.143561 0.268847
2024-12-01 0.013409 0.020352 0.031393 0.051099 0.087420 0.156082 0.308703
2024-12-08 0.012550 0.019415 0.030600 0.051152 0.090402 0.167875 0.349955
2024-12-15 0.011856 0.018679 0.030058 0.051558 0.094071 0.181644 0.399345
2024-12-22 0.010848 0.017327 0.028326 0.049558 0.092680 0.184520 0.423209
2024-12-29 0.010563 0.017239 0.028889 0.052154 0.101472 0.212326 0.522338
2025-01-05 0.009543 0.015789 0.026885 0.049533 0.098905 0.213917 0.551861
2025-01-12 0.008864 0.014887 0.025797 0.048611 0.099917 0.224339 0.611221
2025-01-19 0.008216 0.013984 0.024618 0.047347 0.099934 0.232284 0.666265
2025-01-26 0.007916 0.013696 0.024583 0.048492 0.105811 0.257006 0.787910
2025-02-02 0.007642 0.013431 0.024564 0.049663 0.111970 0.284179 0.932408
2025-02-09 0.007262 0.012932 0.024026 0.049596 0.114980 0.303105 1.055819
2025-02-16 0.006847 0.012332 0.023226 0.048825 0.116014 0.316376 1.163632
2025-02-23 0.006570 0.011984 0.022918 0.049176 0.120166 0.340742 1.335779
2025-03-02 0.006288 0.011603 0.022506 0.049227 0.123500 0.363456 1.515803
2025-03-09 0.006055 0.011305 0.022244 0.049615 0.127899 0.391289 1.742996